2014 Live Election Returns

AoSHQDD will be covering returns for 18 U.S. Senate races, 21 Gubernatorial races, and 69 U.S. House races.

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Latest Blog Posts

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I’ve taken heat in the past for calls made early, but none- not even the one we botched with projecting a “leader” in the initial Mississippi round- took as much heat as our call for Virginia. AOSHQDD Call #VASEN WARNER (D) — AoSHQ Decision Desk (@AoSHQDD) November 5, 2014 So here is why we made… Read more »

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A pair of southern political progeny represent Dems’ last line of defense- but can they win with the majority on the line? As days before the election turn to hours, Republican challengers hold steady if narrow leads in enough races to carry the Senate, and Democrats are largely reduced to hoping the polls are wrong…. Read more »

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So, what has changed? Georgia: Likely Republican to Lean Republican We still find David Perdue, who has proved to be a less-than-stellar candidate, winning this out, but polls have tightened there and one in particular, Survey USA, has found Michelle Nunn with a slight lead- and at 48%. Nunn still needs to win outright in… Read more »

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Why SD suddenly looks like a race- and why it won’t for long. After flying below the radar for most of the cycle, South Dakota rattled the Senate landscape this week, joining Kansas as the latest seat to move from the safe column to apparent peril. And the races do bear a passing resemblance- both feature… Read more »

Latest Polls - Senate
Date State Democrat Republican Spread / Link
10/31 IA Braley: 44% Ernst: 51%R +7
10/30 NC Hagan: 47% Tillis: 46%D +1
10/29 NC Hagan: 47% Tillis: 46%D +1
10/29 AR Pryor: 44% Cotton: 51%R +7
10/29 NH Shaheen: 49% Brown: 49%Tied
10/29 VA Warner: 51% Gillespie: 44%D +7
10/28 GA Nunn: 41% Perdue: 49%R +8
10/27 NC Hagan: 43% Tillis: 48%R +5
10/27 NM Udall: 50% Weh: 43%D +7
10/27 SD Weiland: 33% Rounds: 42%R +9
10/27 CO Udall: 45% Gardner: 51%R +6
10/27 LA Landrieu: 41% Cassidy: 48%R +7
10/27 NH Shaheen: 46% Brown: 41%D +5
10/27 GA Nunn: 45% Perdue: 48%R +3
10/27 AR Pryor: 36% Cotton: 49%R +13
Latest Polls - Gubernatorial
Date State Democrat Republican Spread / Link
10/27 GA Carter: 44% Deal: 46%R +2
10/21 WI Burke: 49% Walker: 48%D +1
10/21 CO Hickenlooper: 43% Beauprez: 45%R +2
10/20 MI Schauer: 44% Snyder: 41%D +3
10/20 CO Hickenlooper: 50% Beauprez: 43%D +7
10/20 NY Cuomo: 54% Astorino: 33%D +21
10/20 MI Schauer: 46% Snyder: 48%R +2
10/20 CT Malloy: 43% Foley: 42%D +1
10/20 FL Crist: 42% Scott: 42%Tied
10/20 GA Carter: 43% Deal: 45%R +2
10/19 SC Sheheen: 31% Haley: 51%R +20
10/19 OR Kitzhaber: 51% Richardson: 38%D +13
10/19 MI Schauer: 39% Snyder: 47%R +8
10/19 CO Hickenlooper: 45% Beauprez: 44%D +1
10/19 FL Crist: 40% Scott: 41%R +1